Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1043.932904 1196.528056 1371.607340 1589.131469 1854.642580 2171.468688 2.583135e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 832.906065 1027.655098 1274.822951 1618.618419 2096.276511 2755.468963 3.770232e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 733.732828 948.540644 1239.573423 1676.553215 2342.331030 3367.711183 5.178781e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 654.978910 877.093550 1193.491583 1698.222078 2527.817837 3932.101414 6.744720e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 585.977590 806.369420 1132.881096 1679.719077 2636.817301 4394.322083 8.341117e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 543.055261 766.573114 1110.222731 1713.453547 2837.214033 5081.158981 1.078755e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 489.274741 703.135524 1040.705175 1653.746795 2849.793781 5396.273660 1.255370e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 446.451179 651.897435 983.924205 1605.831415 2872.317481 5738.812263 1.464136e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 409.024203 605.437636 929.373693 1552.703968 2871.313280 6026.678325 1.680219e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 396.592168 598.393162 940.925549 1626.101305 3158.827549 7149.193407 2.301059e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 380.783013 583.944677 937.362600 1668.524369 3387.378164 8223.470802 3.054546e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 364.883611 567.746737 928.539765 1698.287914 3593.677280 9341.131583 4.029368e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 341.991563 538.466977 894.301499 1673.141288 3667.672316 10124.416401 5.027557e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 327.881968 523.815542 886.720980 1706.891152 3915.181011 11708.053806 7.118544e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 318.091082 515.960019 891.210930 1768.815107 4264.807645 13981.742408 1.099629e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 305.262830 501.290796 880.284103 1792.103048 4508.399138 16037.846583 1.628013e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 289.640677 480.075732 853.673064 1772.236741 4609.391433 17522.389662 2.237824e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 280.256334 470.032555 849.343022 1808.455586 4915.064066 20464.800237 3.725784e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 263.430947 444.327681 809.161811 1744.363583 4845.688541 21141.825114 4.718885e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 248.986467 422.398561 775.370706 1692.967118 4811.249955 22063.798797 6.239064e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 235.238990 401.035550 741.155364 1636.020441 4741.934038 22725.339246 8.078634e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 232.432936 401.300241 754.824163 1714.705443 5239.203210 28381.801549 2.168601e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 227.333582 396.538367 756.672181 1760.221648 5624.254743 33994.545812 6.588347e+06